- Date: 29 Aug. (Thu.)
- Place: W.W. 6th-floor, Colloquium Room
- Time: 16:00-18:00
- Speaker: Wei Zhu/Maoqi Hu (University of Liverpool)
- Title: Introduction to Ruin Theory (final lecture)
- Abstract:

Risk theory in general and ruin probabilities in particular are traditionally considered as part of insurance mathematics, and has been an active area of research from the days of Lundberg all the way up to today. One of the central topics in the risk theory literature is deriving the probability of ruin in the collective risk model. The classical risk model and renewal risk models will be focused in this course, where the claim number processes are assumed to be Poisson counting processes and any general renewal counting processes, respectively.

The first part of this course is about the classical risk model. Different approaches to derive the ruin probability will be shown and explained. The natural extension of the classical risk model leads to the renewal risk model. Very general assumptions on interarrival times are possible for the renewal risk model, which includes the classical risk model, Erlang risk model and fractional Poisson risk model. A new family of differential operators are defined in order to construct the fractional integro-differential equations for ruin probabilities in such renewal risk models. Through the characteristic equation approach, specific fractional differential equations for the ruin probabilities can be solved explicitly, allowing for the analysis of the ruin probabilities